Tag:PPR
Posted on: September 16, 2009 3:11 pm
  •  
 

The Value of Portis

My fantasy football team severely underperformed this week, mostly due to my running backs.  The combination of LT and Portis almost did nothing for me.  My two biggest scorers were Reggie Wayne (extremely valuable in a PPR league) and Donovan McNabb, though McNabb is now hurt.  Luckily, Hasselbeck is looking fairly solid.  Vincent Jackson performed fairly well and I expect him to do better as the season rolls on.

Clinton Portis will be very important in the upcoming weeks.  Look at the Redskins upcoming schedule: St. Louis, Detroit, Tampa Bay, Carolina, Kansas City.  That's five weeks straight where he should run for at least 100 yards (except for maybe Carolina).  He will be fantasy gold right before they face Philadelphia before their bye week.  After these stats are inflated, it would be a great time to trade him.

Here's his remaining schedule: Philadelphia, Bye, Atlanta, Denver, Dallas, Philadelphia, New Orleans, Oakland, New York Giants, Dallas, San Diego.  With the exceptions of Denver and New Orleans, that's a pretty rough schedule.

So don't get frustrated by Portis' poor performance against the Giants.  He will outperform is expectations over the next five weeks, which will be the perfect time to trade him for another solid running back.
Posted on: August 24, 2009 4:49 pm
 

Draft Results

My PPR fantasy football league draft was last night, and here were the results:

Quarterbacks: Donovan McNabb and Matt Hasselbeck

Going into the draft I had wanted to grab Phillip Rivers or Aaron Rodgers in the third round.  Rivers was taken the pick before mine, and Rodgers much earlier, so I was forced to take McNabb.  As a Giants fan, this makes me a little unhappy, but he usually torments the Giants so it might pay off.  I love Hasselbeck as a backup.

Runningbacks: LaDainian Tomlinson, Clinton Portis, Knowshon Moreno, Chester Taylor, Ricky Williams

I had planned on taking LT regardless, but did not think I would end up with Portis.  He fell to the third round, so I had to.  I am concerned about both my RBs being older and more prone to injury, so I picked up Knowshon as my RB3 in case he is a breakout player.  The Chester Taylor pick was solely in case AP gets hurt, which would be a monumental plus for Taylor.  Likewise, if Ronnie Brown gets hurt, Ricky Williams will get a ton more carries.

Wide Receivers: Reggie Wayne, Vincent Jackson, Devin Hester, Muhsin Muhammad, Miles Austin

I did not have a clue who I would pick as my WR1, so I just decided to pick the best on the board.  Wayne and Calvin Johnson fell to me at the fifth pick in the second round, so I chose Wayne.  I love how he has performed in preseason so far, and you don't get a more reliable quarterback than Peyton Manning.  Vincent Jackson is a player that I strongly believe will be a top 10 WR this year, and had wanted from the beginning of the draft.  Otherwise, I wasn't too thrilled with my other picks, especially Muhammad.

Tight Ends: Greg Olsen, Visanthe Shiancoe

I am extremely happy with these two guys, both have an extreme upside.  They both have new quarterbacks who love to throw to their tight ends.

Defense: San Diego Chargers

Their defense seems to be back to 2007 form, where they were in the top 5.  I'm really looking forward to their production.

Kicker: Matt Bryant.

I was the last person to pick a kicker, seeing as they're really not worth talking about.



I really don't know what to make of my team.  I'm mostly scared by the age of some of my players and their proneness to injury.  If they stay healthy, however, I think I can have a great year.  One thing I do have to look out for is Week 5, where Vincent Jackson, the Chargers defense, LT, and Greg Olsen are on their bye week.
Posted on: August 21, 2009 1:15 pm
 

2 Days Away

My fantasy football draft is Sunday night, and I think I can safely say that I know who to draft from the 8th spot.  I'm in a PPR league, so WRs and receiving RBs are much more valuable.  If all goes according to play (which it never does), this is what I'm hoping happens:

1st Round: LT.  My friends are not the brightest drafters, so at the 8th spot I'm pretty confident I can pick him up.  I'm counting on one of the top 7 drafters to snag Tom Brady, because half my league is comprised of ridiculous Pats fans.  Hopefully LT will fall to me.

2nd Round: Whichever best WR falls to me.  I'm praying that I can get Andre Johnson, but that is far from realistic.  After watching Peyton and Reggie Wayne play last night, I would love to have Wayne on my team.  Basically, I'd be happy with Calvin Johnson, Wayne, or Greg Jennings.  Don't know why but Roddy White scares me.

3rd Round: Depending on the flow of the draft, I'm thinking that Rivers and Rodgers will be taken around this area, and I would be happy with either one.

4th Round:  I highly doubt that McFadden will fall this far, but I'd like to scoop him up here.  Another viable option would be Ryan Grant.  If neither of these backs are available, I'd like to see if Vincent Jackson is available.

5th Round:  Since it gets much more unpredicatable at this point, I'll take the best player on the board.  If I grab Jackson the round before this, I'd like to grab Derrick Ward.  If I grab McFadden or Grant in the round before, I'm hoping that Santana Moss is still available.  I really have no idea why this guy is ranked so low.

From that point on: I'd like one of the top 6 TEs, but I'm not willing to reach for Gonzalez or Witten.  Owen Daniels and Greg Olsen might be neat pickups too.  I do have the feeling that TEs are going to go early in this league though, so I may have to settle for someone worse.  I plan on taking a defense very late, because I don't think many people want the Chargers defense.
Posted on: August 20, 2009 6:12 pm
 

Chargers: A Fantasy Football Dream

If you're as obsessed with fantasy football as I am, you'll know that the Chargers offer a ton of great options for your league.  I'm currently in a PPR league (draft is Sunday), and am planning on grabbing some Bolts.

Phillip Rivers: I had him last year as my starter, and boy did he perform.  Depending on your league settings, he finished in either the second or third spot for QBs.  Nothing should change this year, seeing as he has one more year of experience.

LT: Many people are down on LT this year because of his age, but he actually did fairly well last year.  As a receiver, he's gold in PPR leagues.  The only thing to worry about is injuries and snaps taken away by Sproles.  With the 8th pick, I'll take LT in the first round if he's still available.

Vincent Jackson:  Quite possibly my favorite pick in the draft this year.  If you look at his statistics, he improves tremendously every single year.  This will be his fourth full season, and he remains as Rivers best target.  I fully expect Jackson to be a top ten receiver, if not top 5.  Many may disagree, but I'm loving this guy as a WR2.

Antonio Gates:  Don't need to say too much, seeing as he's continually one of the best TEs in the league.

Chargers Defense:  Another great late round pick.  The Chargers defense is not rated very well by most people, but this is based on last years performance, when Merriman and Cromartie (Pro Bowl players) were injured.  The year before?  Top 3 defense!  Look to pick this D up late.

Kaeding:  Not a fan of kickers, but he's one of the best you can get.

Others: Sproles is a great option, especially if LT gets hurt.

Posted on: August 17, 2009 10:20 pm
 

ESPN's Overvalued Fantasy Players

I was watching the Giants game tonight and noticed something odd at halftime.  On the top of the screen they had (I think it was Mike Sando's) "Top 5 overvalued players" for fantasy football this year, and I didn't agree with the top 4.

His #1 overvalued player was Ronnie Brown, who I didn't realize was really all that well valued to begin with.  He's more than a full year removed from ACL surgery and had a stellar year last year.  Plus, the wildcat formation makes him dangerous.

His #2 was Reggie Bush, which I actually can understand to some extent.  I'm in a PPR league so he gains value in that respect, but his injury troubles are just too large.  He might be a good 3rd RB.

#3 was TO.  I don't get this at all.  He looked great in his first preseason game, and historically, he's done well in his first year on new teams.  I don't think anyone is ranking him in the top 5, maybe somewhere around 10th, so how could he be overvalued?

#4 was Eli Manning.  I can understand that there are concerns with him due to the lack of receivers with the Giants, but come on.  He's ranked like 18th in most rankings.  How is that overvalued?  Plus, he looked great in his first preseason game.

I actually plan on going for Brown as a second RB, perhaps Bush as a #3 if he's available, and Eli as a backup.  The Eli move is questionable, but I'm a Giants fan so what the heck.

My top overrated players would be:

#1: Chris Johnson.  No doubt he'll do well this year, but Lendale White will take a lot away from him since he's lost so much weight in the offseason.  Sophmore slumps are rough.

#2: Joe Flacco.  I really think that he's going to have a rough year.  The Ravens lost a lot of defensive support, and their running game is lacking.  These are crucial to your quarterback having success.

#3: Brandon Jacobs.  He fits in very well with the Giants, but he's not a good fantasy football back.  He will split a lot of time with Bradshaw, and Danny Ware could step in as a third down running back.  Plus, he's a concern with injuries.  I love Jacobs as a running back on my favorite team, but not for a fantasy team.

#4: Matt Cassel.  I almost have no faith in his QB skills now that he's out of New England.  It was the system that helped him get the numbers he had last year.  KC's offensive line is terrible, and they all around don't have the tools to support him.

#5: Matt Ryan.  He actually didn't have that great of fantasy number last year.  He's a great fit for the Falcons and will probably do well, but for some reason his numbers don't translate well to fantasy.

 
 
 
 
The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com