Here are my Week 1 picks against the spread:
Atlanta (-3.5) over Miami. In my opinion, these teams will go in opposite directions despite both being surprise teams in the playoffs last year.
Baltimore (-12.5) over Kansas City. That's a heck of a lot of points, but I wouldn't be surprised if the Chiefs didn't score a point this week.
Carolina (+1.5) over Philadelphia. I don't have a lot of confidence in either defense, but Carolina's running game is second to none.
Cincinnati (-4.5) over Denver. The Bengals look to bounce back this yaer, while Denver has a lot of question marks.
Minnesota (-3.5) over Cleveland. The Vikings simply have one of the best all-around teams in the NFC.
New York Jets (+4.5) over Houston. The Texans didn't look great in preseason, and the Jets may be a surprise team to make the playoffs this year.
Indianapolis (-7.5) over Jacksonville. MJD, though active, was injured in the preseason and the Colts have won 9 straight regular season games.
Detroit (+12.5) over New Orleans. The Saints will still win, but I don't trust their defense and Pierre Thomas is hurt.
Tampa Bay (+5.5) over Dallas. This will be a very close game, though I don't like either team to make a big impact this year.
San Francisco (+6.5) over Arizona. The possibility of a Superbowl hangover, aging quarterback, and Boldin being questionable does not bode well.
New York Giants (-6.5) over Washington. The Giants offense will surprise a lot of people, while the Skins offseason acquisitions seem overrated.
Seattle (-8.5) over St. Louis. A healthy Matt Hasselbeck vs. an injured Bulger. Enough said.
Green Bay (-3.5) over Chicago. The Packers offense looks fantastic, while their defense is improving under the 3-4 scheme.
New England (-10.5) over Buffalo. It's not because I think the Patriots will be great, but because I think the Bills will be terrible.
Oakland (+9.5) over San Diego. The Chargers will win, but it's not easy playing in Raiders stadium, and I'd rather take the points.
I'm planning on doing this weekly, mainly because I want to see what my overall record will be. Unfortunately I missed the Steelers/Titans game, but I probably would have taken Pittsburgh (-5.5) and lost.