Posted on: September 12, 2009 5:16 pm

Week 1 Picks

Here are my Week 1 picks against the spread:

Atlanta (-3.5) over Miami.  In my opinion, these teams will go in opposite directions despite both being surprise teams in the playoffs last year.

Baltimore (-12.5) over Kansas City.  That's a heck of a lot of points, but I wouldn't be surprised if the Chiefs didn't score a point this week.

Carolina (+1.5) over Philadelphia.  I don't have a lot of confidence in either defense, but Carolina's running game is second to none.

Cincinnati (-4.5) over Denver.  The Bengals look to bounce back this yaer, while Denver has a lot of question marks.

Minnesota (-3.5) over Cleveland.  The Vikings simply have one of the best all-around teams in the NFC.

New York Jets (+4.5) over Houston.  The Texans didn't look great in preseason, and the Jets may be a surprise team to make the playoffs this year.

Indianapolis (-7.5) over Jacksonville.  MJD, though active, was injured in the preseason and the Colts have won 9 straight regular season games.

Detroit (+12.5) over New Orleans.  The Saints will still win, but I don't trust their defense and Pierre Thomas is hurt.

Tampa Bay (+5.5) over Dallas.  This will be a very close game, though I don't like either team to make a big impact this year.

San Francisco (+6.5) over Arizona.  The possibility of a Superbowl hangover, aging quarterback, and Boldin being questionable does not bode well.

New York Giants (-6.5) over Washington.  The Giants offense will surprise a lot of people, while the Skins offseason acquisitions seem overrated.

Seattle (-8.5) over St. Louis.  A healthy Matt Hasselbeck vs. an injured Bulger.  Enough said.

Green Bay (-3.5) over Chicago.  The Packers offense looks fantastic, while their defense is improving under the 3-4 scheme.

New England (-10.5) over Buffalo.  It's not because I think the Patriots will be great, but because I think the Bills will be terrible.

Oakland (+9.5) over San Diego.  The Chargers will win, but it's not easy playing in Raiders stadium, and I'd rather take the points.

I'm planning on doing this weekly, mainly because I want to see what my overall record will be.  Unfortunately I missed the Steelers/Titans game, but I probably would have taken Pittsburgh (-5.5) and lost. 

Category: NFL
Posted on: August 27, 2009 3:57 pm

Typical Jerry Jones

I'll preface this entry by saying that I despise the Cowboys more than any other team in sports history.

That being said, Jerry Jones' comments about his too-low video screen are absolutely ridiculous.  He sincerely believes that having a video board that can be hit by punts during NFL games isn't that big of a deal.  He acknowledged the fact that it will probably be hit during the regular season, but it's alright with him.  Typical Cowboy arrogance if you ask me.

Apparently he did meet the speculations set forth by the NFL, and has it at least five feet above the league minimum height, but it still interferes with gameplay.  I hope the league steps in and forces him to move the video board up higher, though I'm not so sure that he should be forced to pay for it.  This is just one more thing that the Giants will have to deal with in the stadium opener in mid-September.
Posted on: August 17, 2009 6:03 pm

Preseason Predictions

I know it's early in the preseason, but it's always fun to try and guess who will succeed and make the playoffs this year.  I'll run down each division and then explain my Wild Card picks.

AFC East:  New England Patriots.  As much as I hate to say it, the Pats are back.  Key additions to their defense are equally as important as Brady returning.  One thing to watch for is Brady stepping up in the pocket.  With his repaired knee going forward first, he may look uncomfortable following through, which could lead to more interceptions.  I don't care who you are, ACL repair is serious business.

AFC North:  Pittsburgh Steelers.  Not only are they the best team in the division, but none of the other teams look like they have the material to challenge them.  The Ravens lost key defenders, including defensive coordinator Rex Ryan.  The Bengals have too many questions on both sides of the ball.  And Cleveland... well Cleveland is a mess.  Oh yeah, and the Steelers are the defending champions.

AFC South: Indianapolis Colts.  While it'll be a tough battle, I strongly believe the Colts will return to dominance.  They finished 12-4 last year, even while struggling with Peyton being injured in the beginning of the season.  They do seem to have trouble in the playoffs, so I'm not saying they'll succeed in that respect.  The Titans, and possibly the Texans, will give them a run for their money.

AFC West:  San Diego Chargers.  This is almost a no-brainer.  The Broncos are a mess, the Raiders are run poorly, and the Chiefs are too inexperienced.  Rivers continues to get better, LT is looking to return to dominance, and Shawn Merriman is back.  Enough said.

AFC Wildcards:  Tennessee Titans and Houston Texans.  I'll admit it, I've jumped on the Houston bandwagon to make the playoffs.  If Shaub stays healthy, they've got a very real chance to run deep this year.  The Titans should be fine as well, and may even see a little improvement in Vince Young.  I don't think losing Haynesworth will be too much of a detriment, because I believe the system made him good, not the other way around.  The AFC South is going to be great this year.

NFC East:  New York Giants.  I'll admit this is 50% because I'm a Giants fan.  I do, however, believe that they will have the top defense in the league due to their additions in Canty and Bernard.  The Eagles have lost too many defenders in the offseason, and Jim Johnson has passed away.  Every year Washington adds the biggest name player to their team, thinking it's fantasy football season, and falls short.  Although many people are down on Dallas, I wouldn't count them out to challenge the Giants and Eagles for the division.

NFC North: Green Bay Packers.  They could very well have a top 3 offense this year.  Many people think their transition to the 3-4 will take a year or so, but they looked spectacular in preseason.  If Favre goes to the Vikings, I'd be about 50/50, but I think the Pack has this one.

NFC South: Atlanta Falcons.  This is a very tough call, because all four teams could legitimately win.  The addition of Gonzalez will help Matt Ryan's short passing game, and hopefully Roddy White will end his holdout.  If the Saints defense improves, they could be in this spot.  In addition, if Delhomme pushes that playoff loss out of his head, the Panthers could do the same.

NFC West: Arizona Cardinals.  I wanted to take the Seahawks as a dark horse here, but I can't do it.  Fitzgerald and Boldin are just too good, even if Warner gets hurt.  Their defense is underrated too.

NFC Wildcards: Philadelphia Eagles and Carolina Panthers.  The Panthers defense and run game are enough to at least get them a wild card birth.  The Eagles, despite their losses, are dynamic on offense.

Let me know what you think about these rankings!  I often get too biased in my predictions, so feel free to let me hear where you think I went wrong!  It's my first entry in this blog, so don't be too harsh!
The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com