Many of my ridiculous picks looked brilliant last week, giving me a 10-4 boost... overall record is at 49-40. Shall I be equally as ridiculous this week? All I know is that this week has a bunch of good games, my favorite being the Steelers and Vikings game, at Heinz Field. The Steelers have come back from a 1-2 start, winning three straight, while the Vikings beat a very good Ravens team last week. Anyways, here are the picks, according to the line as of Thursday:
Green Bay (-6.5) over Cleveland. As bad as the Packers offensive line may be, the Browns as a whole are pretty bad. After shutting out the Lions, I could easily see the Packers winning another 20+ point game. With no answer for their quarterback position, how do the Browns put up enough points? Yeah, they scored well against the Steelers, but the Steelers cannot close games this year.
San Francisco (+3.5) over Houston. Many people are quickly jumping off the 49ers bandwagon, but I still like their chances. Houston has been wildly inconsistent, and I think a strong ball control team could beat them this week. With Frank Gore, the 49ers can control the clock, and keep the ball away from Shaub. Plus, Crabtree might have an impact.
Kansas City (+4.5) over San Diego. I really like the chances of the Chiefs pulling this one out, especially at home. The Chargers have a ton of weapons, and are probably the smart pick in this game, but the Chiefs have been looking better and better every week. Both teams basically have to win to stay in playoff contention.
Indianapolis (-13) over St. Louis. I think that Steven Jackson will finally get his first TD, and the Rams offense will probably score more than their 9 point average per game... but it still won't matter. With two weeks of rest and preparation, Peyton Manning will be able to pick apart their defense even easier.
Tampa Bay (+14) over New England. This is an unpopular pick, but hear me out. The Patriots will still win this game, but there are too many factors in this one (being in London) to not take these points, at least in my eyes. I just don't see the Patriots blowing a team out two weeks in a row, even if it is the Bucs.
Minnesota (+4) over Pittsburgh. I've been doing very well picking against the Steelers because they usually win it in close games (relative to the spread), so I'll do it again. Like in previous weeks, the Steelers will probably win the game, but they can't close. Favre usually takes advantage of those types of teams...
Buffalo (+7.5) over Carolina. This is a funny pick because I love the Panthers running game, and still have faith in Jake Delhomme. The Panthers can't win big, though, and I like Fitzpatrick. Bottom line, this is going to be a rushing game, and usually that means the score is going to be close.
New York Jets (-7) over Oakland. Despite losing three in a row, the Jets defense will EASILY be able to handle JaMarcus Russell. I'd be willing to say that Sanchez will be better (how can you get worse?) and Braylon Edwards will get the ball more often. I picked the Raiders last week because I didn't like the Eagles defense, but the Jets D is much better.
Chicago (+1.5) over Cincinnati. I strongly believe that the Bengals will not make it to the playoffs. Why? Yeah, they were a miracle play from starting 5-0, but look at their wins. Benson and Ochocinco had to have an above average game in each, but they barely won. Plus, losing Odom is bad when you're playing Forte and Cutler.
Atlanta (+3.5) over Dallas. Dallas is favored? Really? They're something fundamentally wrong with that team, and I can't quite pinpoint it, but it has to do with Wade Phillips. Bill Parcells left him with a dynamite team, and Phillips couldn't manage to win a playoff game. Now the team is going downhill, and they'll be looking to hire Shanahan or Gruden next year.
Miami (+6.5) over New Orleans. I'm a complete sucker for the wildcat. Wildcat! I actually don't know who will win this game, but I do know that Miami will try to control the ball. This means a lower score for the Saints. The Dolphins may lose just like they did against the Colts, but it will still be close.
Arizona (+7) over New York Giants. I'm just terrible when it comes to Giants games. It's probably because they're my favorite team, but I just hit it wrong every week. Why am I taking the Cardinals? The Giants secondary is banged up again, and Larry Fitzgerald is a beast.
Washington (+7) over Philadelphia. I've always thought it was the playcalling that was the problem in Washington. And their ownership. And their ridiculous spending. But still, a switch in the playcalling might take the Eagles by surprise, who are already reeling because of that awful loss in Oakland.